The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.He ertai bought 199 million yuan and sold 155 million yuan in Shenzhen Stock Connect today. He ertai bought 199 million yuan and sold 155 million yuan today, with a turnover of 6.304 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.727%. After-hours data showed that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 199 million yuan and sold 155 million yuan.Wuzhong, Jiangsu; Dobutamine Hydrochloride Injection and Paramivir Injection are planned to win the bid for the national centralized drug procurement. Jiangsu Wuzhong announced that in the national centralized drug procurement, the bid price of Dobutamine Hydrochloride Injection and Paramivir Injection is 3.58 yuan and 7.47 yuan respectively. The procurement cycle of the two products is until December 31, 2027, and they are supplied to Fujian, Anhui, Jilin, Hubei, Beijing, Inner Mongolia and other provinces and cities respectively. Winning the bid will help to expand the sales of related products, improve market share and brand influence, and have a positive impact on the company's future business performance.
Dutch International: Britain's economic growth momentum has further slowed down, but the budget boost is coming. Dutch International Bank said that Britain's GDP fell again in October, although this may exaggerate the degree of recent economic slowdown. According to the bank's forecast of Britain's annual GDP in 2025, the British economy will surpass most western European countries next year. This may tell more about the economic health of other parts of continental Europe, but it also reflects the impact of the recent fiscal stimulus measures in Britain to a great extent. Compared with the budget of the last Conservative government, public expenditure has increased by about 60 billion pounds, accounting for more than 2% of GDP. Most of the increased expenditure will flow to government departments in the form of daily funds, and most of it will eventually appear in the form of wages. Therefore, the transmission of finance to broader economic growth may be quite high.US Secretary of State Blinken: discussed the ceasefire in Gaza with Turkish Foreign Minister Fidan. Blinken: All parties reached a broad consensus on what we want to see in Syria. We discussed the necessity of continuing efforts to crack down on the extremist organization "Islamic State". We have seen encouraging signs in the past few weeks that a ceasefire in Gaza is possible.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.
It is predicted that the State Council Press Office will hold a press conference at 10 am on Monday, December 16th, 2024, and ask Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics and head of the National Economic Statistics Department, to introduce the national economic operation in November 2024 and answer questions from reporters.Consumer stocks of Hong Kong stocks fell, with Budweiser Asia Pacific (01876.HK) and China Resources Beer (00291.HK) falling more than 5%, Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) and Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) falling 4%, and Li Ning (02331.HK) and Anta Sports (02020.HK) falling more than 3%.China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide